Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.75%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.

Result
VVV-Venlo	Draw	PEC Zwolle
34.32% ( -7.58)	24.1% ( -0.3)	41.57% ( 7.88)

Both teams to score 60.61% (

1.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.2% (

1.58)

41.79% (

-1.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.8% (

1.58)

64.19% (

-1.58)

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.04% (

-3.14)

23.95% (

3.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.81% (

-4.7)

58.18% (

4.69)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.7% (

4.76)

20.3% (

-4.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.33% (

7.08)

52.67% (

-7.08)

Score Analysis

VVV-Venlo 34.32%

PEC Zwolle 41.57%

Draw 24.1%

VVV-Venlo	Draw	PEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.97) 1-0 @ 6.95% ( -1.24) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( -1.46) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.88) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 2.37% ( -1) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.48) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.32%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.36) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.1%	1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.99) 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.53) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( 1.19) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( 1.08) 2-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.52) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.98) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.62) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.36) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.51) Other @ 2.94% Total : 41.57%