SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Heracles | 6 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Jong AZ | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | VVV-Venlo | 6 | 0 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 13 | 16 |
| 2 | FC Eindhoven | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | Heracles | 6 | 8 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 53.34%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.22%) and 0-1 (7.2%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
25.05% ( -0.14) | 21.6% ( -0.04) | 53.34% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 63.46% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.61% ( 0.04) | 35.39% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.58% ( 0.05) | 57.42% ( -0.05) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.31% ( -0.08) | 26.68% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.06% ( -0.11) | 61.93% ( 0.1) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.55% ( 0.07) | 13.44% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.58% ( 0.14) | 40.41% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 25.05% | 1-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.6% | 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.38% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 4.22% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.2% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.42% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 53.34% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
