SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Almere City | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | Willem II | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Jong Ajax | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | TOP Oss | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 | Den Bosch | 4 | -5 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
45.61% ( -0.06) | 24.46% ( -0.09) | 29.93% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 57.44% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.88% ( 0.5) | 45.12% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.53% ( 0.48) | 67.47% ( -0.47) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.1% ( 0.18) | 19.9% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.97% ( 0.29) | 52.03% ( -0.28) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.71% ( 0.35) | 28.29% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.99% ( 0.44) | 64.01% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.96% Total : 45.61% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.72% Total : 29.93% |
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