Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0) 
