SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Helmond Sport | 4 | -5 | 0 |
| 19 | Jong FC Utrecht | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| 20 | ADO Den Haag | 3 | -8 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Almere City | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | Jong Ajax | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Willem II | 3 | 0 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 54.29%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Jong Ajax |
54.29% ( -0.06) | 21.98% ( 0.3) | 23.72% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 60.45% ( -1.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.35% ( -1.73) | 38.64% ( 1.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.05% ( -1.85) | 60.95% ( 1.85) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.74% ( -0.61) | 14.26% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.96% ( -1.2) | 42.03% ( 1.19) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% ( -1.15) | 29.49% ( 1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.5% ( -1.43) | 65.5% ( 1.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.49)2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.36% Total : 54.29% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.34)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.98% | 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.16% Total : 23.72% |
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