Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 54.29%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.

Result
ADO Den Haag	Draw	Jong Ajax
54.29% ( -0.06)	21.98% ( 0.3)	23.72% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 60.45% (

-1.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.35% (

-1.73)

38.64% (

1.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.05% (

-1.85)

60.95% (

1.85)

ADO Den Haag Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.74% (

-0.61)

14.26% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.96% (

-1.2)

42.03% (

1.19)

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.51% (

-1.15)

29.49% (

1.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.5% (

-1.43)

65.5% (

1.42)

Score Analysis

ADO Den Haag 54.29%

Jong Ajax 23.72%

Draw 21.98%

ADO Den Haag	Draw	Jong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.49) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.36% Total : 54.29%	1-1 @ 10% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.34) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.98%	1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.16% Total : 23.72%