SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Telstar win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Den Bosch | Draw | Telstar |
44.15% ( -0.35) | 25.05% ( 0.03) | 30.8% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 55.93% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.69% ( 0.03) | 47.31% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.46% ( 0.03) | 69.53% ( -0.03) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.55% ( -0.15) | 21.45% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.53% ( -0.23) | 54.46% ( 0.23) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.21% ( 0.23) | 28.79% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.36% ( 0.29) | 64.64% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Den Bosch | Draw | Telstar |
| 1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 44.15% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.61% Total : 30.8% |
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