SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Telstar | Draw | Den Bosch |
41.9% ( -0.05) | 24.47% ( 0) | 33.63% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.1% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.32% ( 0) | 43.68% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.93% ( 0.01) | 66.07% ( -0) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.05% ( -0.02) | 20.94% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.31% ( -0.04) | 53.69% ( 0.04) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.76% ( 0.04) | 25.24% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.01% ( 0.05) | 59.99% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Telstar | Draw | Den Bosch |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 41.9% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 33.63% |
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