Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 53.31%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.56%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.