SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.7%) and 3-1 (5.38%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dordrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dordrecht | Draw | Jong PSV |
44.02% ( 0.1) | 22.15% ( -0.02) | 33.82% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 67.84% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.71% ( 0.08) | 32.28% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.1% ( 0.09) | 53.89% ( -0.09) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.57% ( 0.07) | 15.42% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.74% ( 0.13) | 44.25% ( -0.13) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.21% ( -0.01) | 19.78% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.15% ( -0.01) | 51.84% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dordrecht | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.33% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 44.02% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 7% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.51% Total : 22.15% | 1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.78% 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.53% 3-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 3.27% Total : 33.82% |
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