Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 61.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 18.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 1-0 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.