Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.
