Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 66.22%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 13.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for VVV-Venlo in this match.
