Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.