SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 57.47%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 22.13% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.42%) and 3-1 (6.91%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 57.47% | 20.4% | 22.13% |
| Both teams to score 64.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.1% | 32.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.39% | 54.6% |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.56% | 11.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.77% | 36.23% |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.42% | 27.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.89% | 63.1% |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% 2-0 @ 7.42% 3-1 @ 6.91% 1-0 @ 6.84% 3-0 @ 5.36% 3-2 @ 4.45% 4-1 @ 3.74% 4-0 @ 2.91% 4-2 @ 2.41% 5-1 @ 1.62% 5-0 @ 1.26% 5-2 @ 1.05% 4-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.92% Total : 57.47% | 1-1 @ 8.81% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 3.15% 3-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.4% | 1-2 @ 5.67% 0-1 @ 4.06% 2-3 @ 2.64% 0-2 @ 2.62% 1-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.58% Total : 22.13% |
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