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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 8
Sep 27, 2021 at 7pm UK
De Toekomst

Jong Ajax
3 - 1
MVV

Danilo (33' pen., 60'), Unuvar (45+1')
Hillen (20'), Rensch (22')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Dzepar (90+4')
Zeegers (30')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and MVV Maastricht.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 57.47%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 22.13% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.42%) and 3-1 (6.91%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.

Result
Jong AjaxDrawMVV Maastricht
57.47%20.4%22.13%
Both teams to score 64.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.1%32.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.39%54.6%
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.56%11.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.77%36.23%
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.42%27.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.89%63.1%
Score Analysis
    Jong Ajax 57.47%
    MVV Maastricht 22.13%
    Draw 20.4%
Jong AjaxDrawMVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 9.55%
2-0 @ 7.42%
3-1 @ 6.91%
1-0 @ 6.84%
3-0 @ 5.36%
3-2 @ 4.45%
4-1 @ 3.74%
4-0 @ 2.91%
4-2 @ 2.41%
5-1 @ 1.62%
5-0 @ 1.26%
5-2 @ 1.05%
4-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 57.47%
1-1 @ 8.81%
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 3.15%
3-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 20.4%
1-2 @ 5.67%
0-1 @ 4.06%
2-3 @ 2.64%
0-2 @ 2.62%
1-3 @ 2.44%
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 22.13%

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