Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
0) 
-0.02) 
