Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TOP Oss win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a TOP Oss win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that TOP Oss would win this match.
