Willem II have a good record in this fixture and will be hoping for history to repeat itself as they go in search of three points this weekend. We fancy the home side to prevail over their visitors at the sound of the final whistle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 45.59%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 27.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
