While the visitors will be desperately searching for a must-needed win, Go Ahead Eagles look to be the far stronger of the two sides, and we see them continuing their winning run and taking all three points on home turf, partially down to their improved defensive solidity in recent weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 54%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.

Result
Go Ahead Eagles	Draw	Willem II
54%	23.4%	22.6%

Both teams to score 54.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.71%

46.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.42%

68.58%

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.94%

17.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.78%

47.22%

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.32%

34.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.59%

71.41%

Score Analysis

Go Ahead Eagles 54%

Willem II 22.6%

Draw 23.39%

Go Ahead Eagles	Draw	Willem II
1-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 9.8% 2-0 @ 9.25% 3-1 @ 5.78% 3-0 @ 5.46% 3-2 @ 3.06% 4-1 @ 2.55% 4-0 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 1.35% 5-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.98% Total : 54%	1-1 @ 11.07% 0-0 @ 5.92% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.39%	0-1 @ 6.26% 1-2 @ 5.87% 0-2 @ 3.32% 1-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.83% 0-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.08% Total : 22.6%