SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Cardiff City |
49.06% ( -0.17) | 24.41% ( 0.03) | 26.52% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 55.12% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.96% ( -0.03) | 47.04% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.71% ( -0.03) | 69.28% ( 0.02) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.77% ( -0.08) | 19.23% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.07% ( -0.13) | 50.93% ( 0.13) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.24% ( 0.09) | 31.75% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.82% ( 0.11) | 68.18% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 49.06% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 7% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 26.52% |
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