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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2023 at 12pm UK
Ewood Park
CC

Blackburn
1 - 0
Cardiff

Dack (48')
Garrett (13'), Hedges (49'), Wharton (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Simpson (28'), Harris (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 0-0 Cardiff
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Cardiff City

With Cardiff registering so many draws of late, that would ordinarily make a low-scoring stalemate the most obvious result here. However, this is Blackburn we are talking about, and we feel that Rovers will net during the latter stages to maintain their run of no league draws all season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Blackburn Rovers.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawCardiff City
39.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 27.51% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 32.52% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.81% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.22% (0.035000000000004 0.04)56.78% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.28% (0.027000000000001 0.03)77.72% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.22% (0.013000000000005 0.01)27.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.63% (0.015000000000001 0.02)63.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.59% (0.027999999999992 0.03)32.42% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.07% (0.032 0.03)68.93% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 39.97%
    Cardiff City 32.51%
    Draw 27.51%
Blackburn RoversDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.39% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 39.97%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9.01% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 10.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.75% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.51%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Blackburn 1-2 Middlesbrough
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Blackburn
Monday, December 26 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-4 Nott'm Forest
Wednesday, December 21 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Norwich 0-2 Blackburn
Saturday, December 17 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-4 Preston
Saturday, December 10 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Ajax 0-2 Blackburn
Saturday, December 3 at 10am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Coventry 0-0 Cardiff
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-0 QPR
Monday, December 26 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Blackpool
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-2 Cardiff
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 3-1 Aston Villa
Wednesday, November 30 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Sheff Utd
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Championship


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