SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 52.17%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Cardiff City |
52.17% ( -0.91) | 23.72% ( -0.02) | 24.1% ( 0.92) |
| Both teams to score 54.95% ( 1.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.86% ( 0.99) | 46.13% ( -1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.56% ( 0.93) | 68.43% ( -0.94) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.33% ( 0.03) | 17.67% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.7% ( 0.05) | 48.29% ( -0.06) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.74% ( 1.36) | 33.25% ( -1.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.13% ( 1.47) | 69.87% ( -1.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.36)3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.66% Total : 52.17% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.72% | 0-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.36% Total : 24.1% |
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