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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 24, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
CC

Sunderland
0 - 1
Cardiff


Ba (9'), Burstow (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McGuinness (87')
Siopis (55'), Colwill (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 1-3 Sunderland
Wednesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 3-2 Coventry
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Cardiff City

Cardiff are showing the kind of battling qualities that Bulut would have envisaged when he took over in the summer. That should bode them well against an in-form side, yet we can only back free-scoring Sunderland to come through with another three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 52.17%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
SunderlandDrawCardiff City
52.17% (-0.907 -0.91) 23.72% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 24.1% (0.922 0.92)
Both teams to score 54.95% (1.139 1.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.86% (0.994 0.99)46.13% (-0.998 -1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.56% (0.931 0.93)68.43% (-0.937 -0.94)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.33% (0.030000000000001 0.03)17.67% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.7% (0.052999999999997 0.05)48.29% (-0.058 -0.06)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.74% (1.359 1.36)33.25% (-1.362 -1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.13% (1.47 1.47)69.87% (-1.474 -1.47)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 52.17%
    Cardiff City 24.1%
    Draw 23.72%
SunderlandDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.18% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.359 -0.36)
3-1 @ 5.62% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.1% (-0.202 -0.2)
3-2 @ 3.09% (0.108 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.43% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.21% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 52.17%
1-1 @ 11.21% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.88% (-0.252 -0.25)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.181 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.72%
0-1 @ 6.47% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.17% (0.203 0.2)
0-2 @ 3.56% (0.113 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.27% (0.154 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.135 0.14)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 24.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Blackburn 1-3 Sunderland
Wednesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-3 Sunderland
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 5-0 Southampton
Saturday, September 2 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 0-0 Sunderland
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Rotherham
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 3-2 Coventry
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-0 Swansea
Saturday, September 16 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 3-2 Cardiff
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-3 Cardiff
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 2-1 Cardiff
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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