SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
37.18% ( 2.14) | 25.3% ( -0.09) | 37.51% ( -2.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.68% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.94% ( 0.55) | 47.05% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.7% ( 0.5) | 69.29% ( -0.51) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.19% ( 1.46) | 24.8% ( -1.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.61% ( 2) | 59.38% ( -2.01) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.37% ( -0.84) | 24.62% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.86% ( -1.19) | 59.13% ( 1.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.3)2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.35)3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.29)3-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.82% Total : 37.18% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 6% ( -0.45)1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.28)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.86% Total : 37.51% |
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