Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Southampton
29.48% ( 0.12)	23.28%	47.24% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 61.33% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.11% (

0.08)

39.89% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.75% (

0.08)

62.25% (

-0.07)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.05% (

0.12)

25.95% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.04% (

0.16)

60.96% (

-0.15)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.82% (

-0.01)

17.17% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.57% (

-0.03)

47.43% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Brentford 29.48%

Southampton 47.24%

Draw 23.27%

Brentford	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.01% 2-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 29.48%	1-1 @ 10.59% 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.27%	1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.48% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.41% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.63% ( 0) Other @ 4.07% Total : 47.24%