SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Brentford |
36.25% ( -0.55) | 24.25% ( -0.13) | 39.5% ( 0.67) |
| Both teams to score 60.44% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.83% ( 0.54) | 42.17% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.42% ( 0.54) | 64.58% ( -0.54) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.92% ( -0.05) | 23.08% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.08% ( -0.06) | 56.92% ( 0.06) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.57% ( 0.56) | 21.43% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.56% ( 0.86) | 54.44% ( -0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Brentford |
| 2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.25% Total : 36.25% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.25% | 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.64% Total : 39.5% |
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