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EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 22, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
SL

Brighton
2 - 0
Swansea

Connolly (33', 38')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Williams (45'), Downes (73'), Cooper (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawSwansea City
47.07%26.3%26.62%
Both teams to score 49.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.35%54.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.01%75.98%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79%23.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89%57.1%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.25%35.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.48%72.51%
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 47.07%
    Swansea City 26.62%
    Draw 26.3%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 12.11%
2-1 @ 9.11%
2-0 @ 8.85%
3-1 @ 4.43%
3-0 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.62%
4-0 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 47.07%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 8.29%
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 8.53%
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 4.39%
1-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 26.62%

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