Brighton
2 - 1
Leicester

Maupay (35' pen.), Welbeck (50')
Veltman (20'), Sanchez (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vardy (61')
Ndidi (44')

Preview

Brendan Rodgers felt one of Leicester's two disallowed goals should have stood

Rodgers hands Soumare first Premier League start

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 45.71%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 26.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.21%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-0 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Leicester City
26.23%	28.06%	45.71%

Both teams to score 44.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.95%

61.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.97%

81.03%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.4%

39.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.71%

76.29%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.27%

26.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38%

61.99%

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 26.23%

Leicester City 45.71%

Draw 28.04%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Leicester City
1-0 @ 9.81% 2-1 @ 5.99% 2-0 @ 4.54% 3-1 @ 1.85% 3-0 @ 1.4% 3-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.42% Total : 26.23%	1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.04%	0-1 @ 13.96% 0-2 @ 9.21% 1-2 @ 8.54% 0-3 @ 4.05% 1-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-4 @ 1.34% 1-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.88% Total : 45.71%