Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
-0.01) 
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