SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
47.03% ( 0.52) | 23.62% ( -0.26) | 29.35% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 60.02% ( 0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.43% ( 1.04) | 41.57% ( -1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.03% ( 1.05) | 63.97% ( -1.05) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.09% ( 0.61) | 17.9% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.3% ( 1.05) | 48.7% ( -1.05) |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.11% ( 0.35) | 26.89% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.79% ( 0.46) | 62.2% ( -0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnet | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.73% Total : 47.03% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 29.35% |
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