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Club Friendlies 3
Jul 20, 2024 at 1pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
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AFC Wimbledon
2 - 5
Brentford

Lewis (2'), Stevens (81')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Thiago (23', 31'), Wissa (45' pen.), Schade (66'), Mbeumo (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Met Police 0-3 AFC Wimbledon
Wednesday, July 17 at 7.15pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Brentford 2-4 Newcastle
Sunday, May 19 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: AFC Wimbledon 0-3 Brentford

Even though a septet of key Brentford players are still on their summer holidays, Frank can still put out a team brimming with Premier League experience, and Saturday's tie should only end with one result. An expected raft of second-half changes has the potential to halt the Bees' momentum, but they should still run into little trouble against Wimbledon, whose 100% pre-season record should come to a swift end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawBrentford
49.74% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 23.72% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 26.53% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 57.41% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.97% (0.039999999999999 0.04)44.02% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.59% (0.038000000000004 0.04)66.41% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.2% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)17.8% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.48% (0.011000000000003 0.01)48.52% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.84% (0.042000000000002 0.04)30.16% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.69% (0.049999999999997 0.05)66.31% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 49.74%
    Brentford 26.53%
    Draw 23.72%
AFC WimbledonDrawBrentford
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 9.27% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.52%
3-0 @ 4.6% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.38%
4-0 @ 1.99% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 49.74%
1-1 @ 11.1%
2-2 @ 5.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 6.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.86% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 26.53%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Met Police 0-3 AFC Wimbledon
Wednesday, July 17 at 7.15pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 5-1 Walsall
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 3-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 3-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Salford City
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Brentford 2-4 Newcastle
Sunday, May 19 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-2 Brentford
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 0-0 Fulham
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 1-0 Brentford
Saturday, April 27 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 1-5 Brentford
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 2-0 Sheff Utd
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Premier League


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