Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
-0.15) 
0.18) 
