Millwall are the draw specialists in the Championship, and we would not be surprised to see another stalemate at The Den on Saturday. The Lions are more likely to finish higher than their forthcoming opponents this season, but there is little to split these sides on paper. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Millwall win with a probability of 46.08%. A draw has a probability of 27.7% and a win for Stoke City has a probability of 26.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Stoke City win it is 0-1 (9.52%).

Result
Millwall	Draw	Stoke City
46.08% ( -0.21)	27.65% ( 0.02)	26.27% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 45.33% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.31% (

0.04)

59.68% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20% (

0.03)

80% (

-0.03)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.08% (

-0.09)

25.91% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.09% (

-0.12)

60.91% (

0.12)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.19% (

0.19)

38.81% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.46% (

0.18)

75.54% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Millwall 46.08%

Stoke City 26.27%

Draw 27.64%

Millwall	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 13.58% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 46.08%	1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.64%	0-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.52% Total : 26.27%