Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 59.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 17.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
