Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
-0.16) 
0.21) 
