Forest Green have the advantage in terms of the head-to-head record against Harrogate, winning three of their four meetings.
However, the sides have started the season in contrasting form, so we think there will be very little to split the sides come Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 49.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 25.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
0.16) 
-0.07) 
