Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
-0.01) 
0.04) 
