We said: Stockport County 2-0 Torquay United
With no pressure on their shoulders, Torquay will relish the chance to upset the applecart at Edgeley Park on Wednesday night. However, we have to favour Stockport for this game, potentially with a couple of second-half goals to leave them on the brink of promotion.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 69.32%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 11.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Torquay United win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.