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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
KCOM Stadium
SW

Hull City
1 - 2
Sheff Weds

Mehlem (9')
Walter (37'), McLoughlin (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-2)
McNeill (1', 10')
Ihiekwe (36'), Valentin (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 4-0 Plymouth
Sunday, August 11 at 4pm in Championship

We said: Hull City 1-2 Sheffield Wednesday

With both sides expected to make changes to their starting sides on Wednesday, we see the visitors having more strength in depth than their hosts, who are dealing with several notable absentees as well as losses of key men last season. On the back of a statement win to start the season, we back Sheffield Wednesday to advance to the EFL Cup second round with a victory at the MKM Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sheffield Wednesday in this match.

Result
Hull CityDrawSheffield Wednesday
44.45% (0.178 0.18) 24.51% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 31.03% (-0.162 -0.16)
Both teams to score 57.88% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.17% (0.014000000000003 0.01)44.82% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.82% (0.014000000000003 0.01)67.18% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.72% (0.084000000000003 0.08)20.28% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.37% (0.136 0.14)52.63% (-0.138 -0.14)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.6% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)27.4% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.12% (-0.126 -0.13)62.88% (0.122 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 44.45%
    Sheffield Wednesday 31.03%
    Draw 24.51%
Hull CityDrawSheffield Wednesday
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.87% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.07% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.87% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.76% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 44.45%
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.56% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 7.43% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.19% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 31.03%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 2-0 Hull City
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Hull City 2-2 Fiorentina
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Hull City 0-2 Newcastle
Saturday, July 27 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Doncaster 4-0 Hull City
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Fenerbahce 5-1 Hull City
Thursday, July 18 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Sheff Weds 4-0 Plymouth
Sunday, August 11 at 4pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-0 Leganes
Saturday, August 3 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-2 Sheff Weds
Friday, July 26 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Salzburg 4-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Alfreton 0-2 Sheff Weds
Saturday, July 6 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Sunderland 0-2 Sheff Weds
Saturday, May 4 at 12.30pm in Championship


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