SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Hull City |
37.56% ( -1.15) | 25.65% ( 0.16) | 36.78% ( 0.99) |
| Both teams to score 55.44% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.37% ( -0.66) | 48.63% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.25% ( -0.6) | 70.75% ( 0.6) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.67% ( -0.92) | 25.32% ( 0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.9% ( -1.28) | 60.1% ( 1.28) |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.24% ( 0.25) | 25.76% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.3% ( 0.34) | 60.7% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Hull City |
| 1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.6% Total : 37.56% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 6% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.78% |
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