Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Hull City | Draw | Newcastle United |
45.79% ( -0) | 23.56% ( 0.01) | 30.65% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 61.04% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.42% ( -0.04) | 40.58% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.04% ( -0.05) | 62.96% ( 0.05) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.99% ( -0.02) | 18.01% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.12% ( -0.03) | 48.88% ( 0.04) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.45% ( -0.02) | 25.55% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.58% ( -0.03) | 60.41% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Hull City | Draw | Newcastle United |
2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0) Other @ 3.72% Total : 45.79% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.55% | 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.65% |
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