Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
39.8% ( -0.04) | 25.99% ( 0.13) | 34.21% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 53.98% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.62% ( -0.58) | 50.38% ( 0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.68% ( -0.52) | 72.31% ( 0.52) |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.08% ( -0.29) | 24.92% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.46% ( -0.4) | 59.54% ( 0.39) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.89% ( -0.34) | 28.1% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.22% ( -0.43) | 63.78% ( 0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 39.8% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 34.21% |
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