Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
20 | Shrewsbury Town | 2 | -1 | 1 |
21 | Morecambe | 2 | -3 | 1 |
22 | Cheltenham Town | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Reading | 2 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Stoke City | 2 | 0 | 3 |
13 | Blackpool | 2 | -1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Stoke City |
34.82% ( -0.17) | 26.47% ( 0.06) | 38.71% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 52.53% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.73% ( -0.27) | 52.27% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.03% ( -0.23) | 73.97% ( 0.23) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.35% ( -0.23) | 28.65% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.54% ( -0.3) | 64.46% ( 0.3) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.63% ( -0.06) | 26.37% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.48% ( -0.09) | 61.52% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 34.82% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.71% |
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