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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
SL

Morecambe
0 - 0
Stoke

Morecambe win 5-4 on penalties

Weir (61'), Gibson (73'), Fane (83')
Weir (62')
FT

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Blackpool
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Morecambe 0-1 Stoke City

Buoyed by their victory last time out, Stoke City will head into this one with the wind in their sails and should back themselves to see of the threat of a struggling Morecambe outfit. We are tipping the visitors to carry the day at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawStoke City
34.82% (-0.166 -0.17) 26.47% (0.062000000000001 0.06) 38.71% (0.108 0.11)
Both teams to score 52.53% (-0.22 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.73% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)52.27% (0.273 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.03% (-0.231 -0.23)73.97% (0.23399999999999 0.23)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.35% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)28.65% (0.237 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.54% (-0.295 -0.3)64.46% (0.298 0.3)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.63% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)26.37% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.48% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)61.52% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 34.82%
    Stoke City 38.71%
    Draw 26.46%
MorecambeDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.87% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 34.82%
1-1 @ 12.58% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.56% (0.081 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 10.07% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 8.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.71% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.98% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 38.71%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Peterborough 3-0 Morecambe
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 0-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 0-3 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, July 19 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Huddersfield 3-1 Morecambe
Tuesday, July 12 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Morecambe 0-1 Sunderland
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 2-0 Morecambe
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Blackpool
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Hearts
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-0 Stoke
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Accrington 2-0 Stoke
Wednesday, July 13 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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