SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Brentford |
40.97% ( -0.04) | 26.33% ( -0.05) | 32.69% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 52.49% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.89% ( 0.22) | 52.11% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.17% ( 0.19) | 73.83% ( -0.2) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.91% ( 0.08) | 25.08% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.23% ( 0.11) | 59.77% ( -0.11) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.07% ( 0.17) | 29.93% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.96% ( 0.2) | 66.03% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Brentford |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 40.97% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 32.69% |
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