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League One | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
LC

Bolton
3 - 0
Lincoln

Iredale (4'), Adeboyejo (59'), O'Connor (74' og.)
Sheehan (17'), Maghoma (87'), N'Lundulu (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

House (27'), Eyoma (45+6'), Mandroiu (49')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 4-3 West Brom
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Lincoln 0-3 Rotherham
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Lincoln City

Bolton do boast slightly more quality throughout the squad than their visitors, and with home advantage and the need to get up and running quickly in their promotion bid, we fancy the Trotters to take all three points in their curtain-raiser. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawLincoln City
44.56% (-1.108 -1.11) 26.11% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 29.33% (1.084 1.08)
Both teams to score 51.74% (0.581 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.58% (0.441 0.44)52.42% (-0.442 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.9% (0.378 0.38)74.09% (-0.378 -0.38)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57% (-0.33500000000001 -0.34)23.43% (0.335 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.57% (-0.488 -0.49)57.43% (0.48699999999999 0.49)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.56% (1.049 1.05)32.43% (-1.049 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.05% (1.164 1.16)68.95% (-1.163 -1.16)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 44.55%
    Lincoln City 29.33%
    Draw 26.1%
Bolton WanderersDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 11.02% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8% (-0.303 -0.3)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.87% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.025 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 44.55%
1-1 @ 12.41% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.6% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.101 0.1)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.56% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.99% (0.207 0.21)
0-2 @ 4.82% (0.189 0.19)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.15 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.091 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.12 0.12)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 29.33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bolton 4-3 West Brom
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bolton 0-0 Everton
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Barnsley 1-0 Bolton
Friday, May 19 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Barnsley
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-3 Bolton
Sunday, May 7 at 12pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-3 Rotherham
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Lincoln 1-0 Shrewsbury
Sunday, May 7 at 12pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 3-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 0-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Barnsley
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League One


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