SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 84.76%. A draw had a probability of 10.2% and a win for York City had a probability of 4.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 4-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.8%), while for a York City win it was 1-2 (1.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | York City |
84.76% ( -0.13) | 10.24% ( 0.06) | 4.99% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 46.37% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.42% ( 0.01) | 27.58% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.78% ( 0.02) | 48.21% ( -0.02) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.45% ( -0.03) | 4.54% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 81.42% ( -0.06) | 18.57% ( 0.05) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.57% ( 0.23) | 51.42% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.37% ( 0.15) | 85.62% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | York City |
| 3-0 @ 11.5% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 3.66% 6-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 1.89% ( -0)7-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.13% Total : 84.74% | 1-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.33% ( -0)Other @ 0.64% Total : 10.24% | 1-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.84% Total : 4.99% |
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