A trip to lower-league opposition is just what the doctor ordered for Swansea as they aim to finally post a first win of the season, with Oxford yet to find a golden touch in front of goal. The U's were indebted to a teenage hero at the weekend and can be expected to put out an experienced side here, but we cannot see Swansea suffering a shock early defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 41%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%).

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Swansea City
41% ( 3.31)	25.19% ( 0.37)	33.8% ( -3.68)

Both teams to score 56.6% (

-1.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.05% (

-2.12)

46.95% (

2.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.8% (

-2.02)

69.19% (

2.01)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.22% (

0.74)

22.77% (

-0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.53% (

1.08)

56.47% (

-1.08)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.3% (

-3.07)

26.7% (

3.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.04% (

-4.24)

61.96% (

4.24)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 41%

Swansea City 33.8%

Draw 25.19%

Oxford United	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 9% ( 0.95) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.83) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.47) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.21% Total : 41%	1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.53) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.26) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.19%	0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.53) 0-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.48) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.57) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.36) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.45) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.31) Other @ 3.15% Total : 33.8%