Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
