Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 17.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
