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EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
OU

QPR
2 - 0
Oxford Utd

Dickie (26'), Chambers-Parillon (40' og.)
Chair (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sykes (59'), Johnson (76')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawOxford United
40.02%24.18%35.79%
Both teams to score 60.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.1%41.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.7%64.3%
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.94%21.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.13%53.87%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.8%23.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.91%57.09%
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 40.02%
    Oxford United 35.79%
    Draw 24.18%
Queens Park RangersDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 8.66%
1-0 @ 7.61%
2-0 @ 5.93%
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-2 @ 3.29%
3-0 @ 3.08%
4-1 @ 1.75%
4-2 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 40.02%
1-1 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 6.33%
0-0 @ 4.89%
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 8.12%
0-1 @ 7.14%
0-2 @ 5.22%
1-3 @ 3.96%
2-3 @ 3.08%
0-3 @ 2.54%
1-4 @ 1.45%
2-4 @ 1.13%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 35.79%

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