Sheffield Wednesday have won seven of their last eight home matches, and five of those victories have been won by two goals or more, highlighting Wednesday's dominance on home turf, and we think that the Owls will utilise home advantage to squeeze past Sunderland on aggregate.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 52.19%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 23.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
