Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.95%) and 1-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Stoke City
30.6%	29.33%	40.06%

Both teams to score 43.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.49%

63.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.17%

82.84%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.61%

37.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.82%

74.18%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.97%

31.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.66%

67.34%

Score Analysis

Swansea City 30.6%

Stoke City 40.06%

Draw 29.32%

Swansea City	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 11.41% 2-1 @ 6.57% 2-0 @ 5.61% 3-1 @ 2.15% 3-0 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.75% Total : 30.6%	1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 11.6% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.32%	0-1 @ 13.57% 0-2 @ 7.95% 1-2 @ 7.82% 0-3 @ 3.1% 1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.17% Total : 40.06%