Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.95%) and 1-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
